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Discover and track sports and entertainment prediction markets.

Compare live prices on World Cup and championship futures, head-to-head matchups, and award races. Get alerts when they move.

NBA + NHL playoffs · K + PMSoccer (EPL, UCL, World Cup) · K + PMNFL season + Super Bowl · K + PMMLB World Series · K + PMF1 Drivers + Constructors · K + PMBoxing + UFC · K + PMAwards (Oscars, Grammys, Eurovision) · K + PM

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01 / Live markets

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Prediction Market Scanner

Real-time prediction market data from Polymarket and Kalshi

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Filter to find sports and entertainment markets that interest you. Follow and set alerts to be notified when they move.

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02 / Methodology

How sports and entertainment contracts work.

1
Step 01
An event opens.

A platform lists an event with a deadline and a named resolution source. Often binary (yes or no), sometimes categorical or multiple-choice.

"Who will win the 2026 MLB World Series?"
Polymarket logoLive: 2026 World Series
2
Step 02
The season plays out.

Inside the contract window, the season plays out. A team wins the title or doesn't. A player wins MVP or doesn't. A coach gets fired or doesn't.

The favourite locks in a 100-win regular season and the top divisional seed. The wild-card field firms up across both leagues.
3
Step 03
A source posts the result.

Resolution is decided by the named source in the contract. League website, official scorekeeper, AP wire, awards announcement.

MLB.com posts the World Series result. The "World Series winner" event resolves.
4
Step 04
The contract resolves.

The platform settles the contract against the source. Kalshi auto-settles when the league announces. Polymarket settles via UMA proposer; the network confirms within 24 hours unless disputed. Game scores almost never get disputed; the rare disputes are about award-vote timing or eligibility edges, not who won.

Kalshi auto-settles once MLB.com confirms the trophy presentation. Polymarket settles via UMA proposer within 24 hours.

Same event. Different platforms.

Kalshi logo

Who will win the World Series?

Yes · Dodgers
Volume
Spread
Closes
Oct,

Auto-settles against MLB's official World Series result. Kalshi resolves once the Commissioner's Trophy is awarded. No proposer, no dispute window.

The trade: tight spread on a major sports binary. Liquidity scales as the Finals approach. Slippage kicks in past a few thousand contracts. Most sports traders use Kalshi for sub- positions.
Trade
Polymarket logo

Who will win the World Series?

Yes · Dodgers
Volume
Spread
Closes
Oct,

Resolves via UMA proposer against the World Series result. Proposer files outcome, network confirms within hours unless disputed. dispute bond. Championship finals have historically been a clean-resolution market.

The trade: deeper liquidity, wider spread. Better for size. Cross-platform arb opportunity around clinching games when Kalshi auto-settles faster than UMA confirms.
Trade

Both contracts settle against the same outcome. What changes is the venue: liquidity, fees, and how each platform handles edge cases.

03 / One contract, walked through

Follow a live sports contract.

Kalshi logo

Will the Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

Resolves on
MLB-confirmed World Series winner
Yes if
The Dodgers win the World Series
Listed
November 2025
Closes
Late October 2026 · post-World Series
Trade
Live snapshot
Yes
Volume
Spread
Closes in
Opening month · Late April 2026
First month of the 2026 regular season

The Dodgers open the 2026 season with their stated rotation and lineup intact. Through the first month, the rotation holds up and the bat order produces. The market reads early form as confirmation of the pre-season thesis: traders reprice toward the consensus favorite range. Slow starts or rotation injuries would have pushed it the other way.

What moved: First month of regular-season results.
Price after early season
32¢
+10¢ from listing
Trade now at 31¢
Step 2 of 6
04 / Live through 2026

The 2026 sports and entertainment contract calendar.

MLB World Series and college football

3 contracts · resolve Oct 2026 to Jan 2027
Kalshi logo

Who will win the 2026 World Series?

vol · spread · Closes
Events that move it
  • Jul 31 MLB trade deadline · contender lineups firm up
  • Sep Regular season closes · playoff seeding set
  • Oct Wild Card · LDS · LCS
  • Late Oct World Series · resolution
Trade
Polymarket logo

Who will win the 2026 World Series?

vol · spread · Closes
Events that move it
  • Jul 31 MLB trade deadline · contender lineups firm up
  • Sep Regular season closes · playoff seeding set
  • Oct Wild Card · LDS · LCS
  • Late Oct World Series · resolution
Trade
Kalshi logo

Who will win the 2026-27 College Football National Championship?

vol · spread · Closes
Events that move it
  • Aug-Nov Regular season · weekly AP and Coaches polls reset the field
  • Dec Conference championships · Playoff committee bracket announced
  • Dec-Jan 12-team Playoff bracket plays through
  • Jan 11 2027 National Championship game · resolution
Trade

Soccer's global cycle · MLS, Ballon d'Or, World Cup

3 contracts · resolve July to December 2026
Kalshi logo

Who will win the 2026 MLS Cup?

vol · spread · Closes
Events that move it
  • Feb 21 MLS regular season opens
  • Oct-Nov Playoffs bracket sets
  • Dec 6 Conference finals
  • Dec 19 MLS Cup final · resolution
Trade
Kalshi logo

Who will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

vol · spread · Closes
Events that move it
  • Jun-Jul World Cup runs reshape the award race
  • Aug-Sep 30-player shortlist announced
  • Oct 26 Ceremony in London · resolution
Trade
Polymarket logo

Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

vol · spread · Closes
Events that move it
  • Jun 11 World Cup begins
  • Jun-Jul Group stage and knockout rounds
  • Jul 19 Final · resolution
Trade

Year-end championships and entertainment

3 contracts · resolve December 2026 to March 2027
Polymarket logo

Who will be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

vol · spread · Closes
Events that move it
  • Per race Each Grand Prix reprices the contract
  • Aug-Sep European leg + Italian GP
  • Nov Brazilian and Las Vegas GPs
  • Dec 6 Abu Dhabi season finale · resolution
Trade
Kalshi logo

Who will be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

vol · spread · Closes
Events that move it
  • Throughout Cultural and political news shifts the candidate field
  • Nov TIME shortlist announced · field narrows
  • Early Dec TIME reveals Person of the Year · resolution
Trade
Kalshi logo

Who will win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?

vol · spread · Closes
Events that move it
  • Sep 2026 NFL season opens · early form sets the field
  • Per game Each week reprices the contract
  • Jan Playoffs begin · variance ramps up
  • Feb 14 2027 Championship game · resolution
Trade
05 / Key terms

Sports and entertainment glossary.

+ 7 more terms
Hover to pause
Sherpa / DraftKings line
Sportsbook moneyline odds. Translates between probability and price via the standard moneyline → implied probability formula. Used as the cross-platform reference for sports prediction-market price.
Commissioner's Trophy
MLB · Resolution source

The trophy awarded to the World Series winner. Kalshi World Series contracts resolve at the moment the trophy is presented at the end of the clinching game. The contract closes within minutes of the on-field ceremony.

Kalshi logo2026 World Series
Series odds
Sportsbook bridge · Cohort vocabulary

The implied probability a team wins a best-of-seven series, derived from per-game odds. Sportsbook traders translate prediction-market price into series odds and vice versa. The bridge is sometimes called the 'series-line decompose.'

Whitelisted proposer
Polymarket / UMA · Resolution mechanic

A UMA tokenholder pre-approved to file resolution outcomes on Polymarket markets. Introduced with MOOV2 in August 2025 to reduce dispute volume on semantic-resolution markets. Sports contracts increasingly resolve through whitelisted proposers.

Polymarket logo2026 World Series
Awards-vote window
Resolution edge · Award contracts

The interval between an award being voted (by media, academy, or league panel) and being publicly announced. MVP, Coach of the Year, Oscars Best Picture, all have a 24-72 hour vote-to-announce window where contract price moves on rumor.

Closing line value
Sportsbook bridge · Cohort vocabulary

The difference between the price you filled at and the price the market closed at. Positive CLV is the standard sportsbook proxy for skill. Prediction-market traders use the same concept across longer windows: opening price vs. resolution price.

Group-item title
Polymarket data · Multi-option events

On Polymarket multi-option markets (e.g. Eurovision winner, World Cup winner), each binary child has a groupItemTitle naming the specific option (country, team, candidate). Used by traders to navigate between binaries within a single event.

Spread
Cohort vocabulary · Order book

The gap between bid and ask on a contract. Wide spread = market uncertainty. Tightens as resolution approaches and the price converges. Widens when an injury or upset creates disagreement.

Resolution-source ambiguity
Resolution edge · Semantic markets

When a contract's resolution language admits more than one interpretation. Common in award contracts ('best' is whose vote?), eligibility contracts ('qualified' under whose rules?), and timing contracts ('before X date' in whose timezone?). The structural risk of sports / entertainment markets.

Showing 8 of 108 terms View full glossary

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07 / Frequently asked

Sports and entertainment prediction market FAQ.

Kalshi's championship contracts (World Series, Stanley Cup, Super Bowl, NBA Finals) auto- settle once the league announces the winner via official channels. World Series resolves at Commissioner's Trophy presentation; Stanley Cup at the Cup ceremony; NBA Finals at the Commissioner's Trophy presentation. Settlement happens within minutes of the on-court ceremony. There is no dispute window on these contracts.

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