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Learn prediction markets.

From your first trade to advanced strategy. Guides built by operators, not marketers.

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Will the fed cut rates prediction market example
Fundamentals

How Prediction Markets Work: Guide to Event Contracts

Learn how prediction markets work with a complete contract lifecycle walkthrough.

Beginner12 min read
Prediction implied probability chart
Strategy

Prediction Market Odds Explained: Pricing & Probability

Learn how prediction market odds work and translate contract prices to American and decimal odds.

Intermediate10 min read
Prediction market first trade chart
Fundamentals

Prediction Market Contract: Anatomy, Platforms & Checklist

Learn what a prediction market contract is and how its six key components work.

Beginner13 min read
Democratic Presidential Nominee Pete Buttigieg Will the U.S. invade Iran before ?NO Presidential Election Winner JD Vance Will China invade Taiwan by end of ?NO Will Trump acquire Greenland before ?NO Republican Presidential Nominee J.D. Vance Fed Decision in September?No change Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in ?NO F1 Drivers' ChampionKimi Antonelli How many Fed rate cuts in ? Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Yomiuri GiantsYomiuri Giants NVIDIA RTX · Hourly price on Aug (Week )Above Highest temperature in Atlanta on Aug, ?° or above NVIDIA H100 · Hourly price on Aug (Week )Above SOL price range on Aug, at 1am EDT?to . What will Hims say during their next earnings call?Collaboration Starbucks Monthly Credit Card Spend in August Above Lowest temperature in Oklahoma City on Aug, ?° or above What will Dominos say during their next earnings call?Parmesean Dogecoin price range on Aug, at 1am EDT?to . Democratic Presidential Nominee Pete Buttigieg Will the U.S. invade Iran before ?NO Presidential Election Winner JD Vance Will China invade Taiwan by end of ?NO Will Trump acquire Greenland before ?NO Republican Presidential Nominee J.D. Vance Fed Decision in September?No change Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in ?NO F1 Drivers' ChampionKimi Antonelli How many Fed rate cuts in ? Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Yomiuri GiantsYomiuri Giants NVIDIA RTX · Hourly price on Aug (Week )Above Highest temperature in Atlanta on Aug, ?° or above NVIDIA H100 · Hourly price on Aug (Week )Above SOL price range on Aug, at 1am EDT?to . What will Hims say during their next earnings call?Collaboration Starbucks Monthly Credit Card Spend in August Above Lowest temperature in Oklahoma City on Aug, ?° or above What will Dominos say during their next earnings call?Parmesean Dogecoin price range on Aug, at 1am EDT?to .

Prediction market fundamentals.

The essential concepts. Each guide gives you actionable knowledge, not textbook theory.

big 4 prediction market categories graphic
Fundamentals

Find Your Market: 9 Prediction Categories in 2026

The nine categories of prediction markets you can trade in 2026, and which platforms lead each.

Beginner12 min read
NBA arena
Crossover

Prediction Markets vs. Sports Betting: How They Differ

Prediction markets vs. sports betting: how they differ on odds, fees, payouts, and regulation.

Beginner12 min read
prediction markets legal mockup
Legal & Regulation

Are Prediction Markets Legal? 2026 Guide to US & Global Law

Are prediction markets legal? Full breakdown of federal, state, and international regulation for 2026.

Beginner17 min read
Will the fed cut rates prediction market example
Fundamentals

How Prediction Markets Work: Guide to Event Contracts

Learn how prediction markets work with a complete contract lifecycle walkthrough.

Beginner12 min read
How Prediction Market Fees work dashboard
Fees & Costs

The 6 Fees That Eat Your Prediction Market Profits

Six fee categories, one $100 trade. See what Kalshi, Polymarket, and FanDuel Predicts actually take.

Beginner11 min read
Prediction implied probability chart
Strategy

Prediction Market Odds Explained: Pricing & Probability

Learn how prediction market odds work and translate contract prices to American and decimal odds.

Intermediate10 min read

Already know sports betting?

You're closer than you think. These guides translate what you know into prediction market terms.

sports bettor's prediction market comparison
Crossover

The Sports Bettor’s Guide to Prediction Markets (2026)

Translation table, first-trade walkthrough, and edge analysis for sports bettors making the move.

Intermediate14 min read
money lit on fire
Crossover

Prediction Market Bankroll Management: Guide to Sizing

Learn how to size prediction market positions and manage correlation risk.

Intermediate11 min read
Tony Roma's race and sports book
Crossover

Sportsbook vs. Exchange: How Prediction Markets Set Lines

Learn how CLOB, AMM, and hybrid models set prices, and what it means for your edge.

Intermediate10 min read
jockeys racing on horses
Crossover

Why Bettors & Fantasy Players Move to Prediction Markets

Why sports bettors are moving to prediction markets, what you gain, and what you give up.

Beginner11 min read

Find your edge.

Only 12.7% of Polymarket wallets are profitable.

The difference? Information, timing, and discipline.

whale with binoculars
Strategy

6 Whale Signals Every Prediction Market Trader Needs

Six smart money signals to track on Polymarket and why Kalshi makes it harder.

Advanced14 min read
hand holding stopwatch
Strategy

Prediction Market Timing: When to Buy, When to Wait

Learn when to enter prediction market trades around CPI releases, elections, and closing dates.

Intermediate11 min read
Stylized prediction market price lines with one line spiking into a glowing alert ripple
Strategy

Prediction Market Alerts: How to Set Up and Track Markets

The alert types that matter, what Polymarket and Kalshi offer natively, and how to track markets in one place.

Beginner10 min read
a whale cross platform arbitrage trading
Strategy

Prediction Market Arbitrage: Types, Math, and Margins

Three types of prediction market arbitrage with post-fee math.

Advanced13 min read
two dice next to one another
Strategy

Evaluate Any Prediction Market Contract: 7-Step Check

A seven-step framework to evaluate any prediction market contract in under five minutes.

Intermediate12 min read
vacuum sucking up money
Fundamentals

9 Mistakes That Burn New Prediction Market Traders

Learn the 9 most expensive errors with dollar examples and a pre-trade checklist.

Beginner11 min read

Explore all guides.

hand holding stopwatch
Strategy

Prediction Market Timing: When to Buy, When to Wait

Learn when to enter prediction market trades around CPI releases, elections, and closing dates.

Intermediate11 min read
money lit on fire
Crossover

Prediction Market Bankroll Management: Guide to Sizing

Learn how to size prediction market positions and manage correlation risk.

Intermediate11 min read
sports bettor's prediction market comparison
Crossover

The Sports Bettor’s Guide to Prediction Markets (2026)

Translation table, first-trade walkthrough, and edge analysis for sports bettors making the move.

Intermediate14 min read
a whale cross platform arbitrage trading
Strategy

Prediction Market Arbitrage: Types, Math, and Margins

Three types of prediction market arbitrage with post-fee math.

Advanced13 min read
Tony Roma's race and sports book
Crossover

Sportsbook vs. Exchange: How Prediction Markets Set Lines

Learn how CLOB, AMM, and hybrid models set prices, and what it means for your edge.

Intermediate10 min read
whale with binoculars
Strategy

6 Whale Signals Every Prediction Market Trader Needs

Six smart money signals to track on Polymarket and why Kalshi makes it harder.

Advanced14 min read
Prediction market first trade chart
Fundamentals

Prediction Market Contract: Anatomy, Platforms & Checklist

Learn what a prediction market contract is and how its six key components work.

Beginner13 min read
Will the fed cut rates prediction market example
Fundamentals

How Prediction Markets Work: Guide to Event Contracts

Learn how prediction markets work with a complete contract lifecycle walkthrough.

Beginner12 min read
Small business owner reviewing costs at the counter of a neighborhood shop
Strategy

How Small Businesses Hedge Risk With Prediction Markets

A bar, an ice cream shop, and a conference organizer all hedged real business risk with prediction market contracts. How the hedges worked, what the arithmetic looks like, and where the limits sit.

Beginner12 min read
Stylized prediction market price lines with one line spiking into a glowing alert ripple
Strategy

Prediction Market Alerts: How to Set Up and Track Markets

The alert types that matter, what Polymarket and Kalshi offer natively, and how to track markets in one place.

Beginner10 min read
Digital weather station display showing a daily high of 25.6 degrees Celsius and a daily low of 20 degrees Celsius
Strategy

How to Trade Daily Weather Markets on Kalshi & Polymarket

A trader's guide to daily weather markets: how contracts settle station by station, where the free forecast data lives, and the fee math that decides which trades are worth taking.

Intermediate16 min read
A homeowner staring off the coast of Florida into a hurricane approaching
Climate & Weather

Using Climate Prediction Markets to Hedge Weather Risk

Climate prediction markets let you trade and hedge weather outcomes and manage real weather risk.

Beginner15 min read

Showing 12 of 22 guides

Prediction market glossary.

Quick definitions for the terms you'll encounter.

Key terms
Limit Order
An order to buy or sell at a specific price. You set the price, the market comes to you.
Implied Probability
The market's estimated likelihood, derived from the contract price.
Settlement
When a contract resolves and payouts are distributed.
Spread
The difference between the best buy and sell price. A hidden cost.
Liquidity
How easily you can trade at the price you want.
Order Book
The list of pending buy and sell orders at various prices.
Event Contract
A prediction market contract tied to a real-world outcome.
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