Prediction market news.
How the world's discussions are playing out on prediction markets
Latest
SpaceX Prediction Markets 2026: Starship, Launches, Moon
The SpaceX IPO has priced and settled. What still trades: Starship reusability and launch cadence, docking milestones, NASA Moon timelines, and the Tesla merger question, live on Polymarket and Kalshi.
World Elections 2026 and 2027 Prediction Markets
Live odds for Brazil, France, and every other national election and leadership race outside the US and Israel, tracked through 2027.
2026 Heat & Temperature Predictions: Hottest Year Markets
Live market prices on 2026 heat and temperature records: the hottest year, daily city highs, heat domes, Arctic sea ice, and atmospheric CO2, set against NASA, NOAA, and NSIDC data.
2026-2027 Awards Season Predictions: Oscars, Emmys & Grammys
Live prediction markets for awards season: the Oscars, Emmys, Grammys, and The Game Awards, priced across Polymarket and Kalshi, with the contract terms you need to read them.
Russia-Ukraine War Prediction Markets: Ceasefire and Territory
Short truces came and went, and no general ceasefire is in force. What trades now: a ceasefire agreement by year end, the Donetsk front line at two thresholds of control, escalation beyond Ukraine, and leadership tenure on both sides.
Get live prices with a free account.
Politics.
7 markets
Trump Presidency Tracker 2026: Approval & Impeachment Odds
Live Kalshi and Polymarket odds on Trump's second term: how low approval goes, whether impeachment happens, who leaves the Cabinet, the pardon ladder, and the Greenland and 51st-state markets.
Supreme Court Predictions 2026-2027: Next Justice & Rulings
Track the ladder for the next Supreme Court justice, the retirement-watch contracts on Samuel Alito, and the pending cert petitions on sports event contracts, tariffs, and gun rights, priced live on Polymarket and Kalshi.
World Elections 2026 and 2027 Prediction Markets
Live odds for Brazil, France, and every other national election and leadership race outside the US and Israel, tracked through 2027.
Sports & Entertainment.
9 markets
Reality TV Predictions 2026: Big Brother 28 & Bachelorette
Live prediction markets for reality TV competition seasons: Big Brother 28 winner, placement and weekly eviction contracts on both venues, whether The Bachelorette Season 22 ever airs, plus Summer House, Dancing with the Stars and Tournament of Champions.
College Football Odds 2026: Playoff, Heisman, National Title
Live college football prediction markets on Kalshi and Polymarket: the national championship, the 12-team Playoff field, the Heisman Trophy, the four Power conference titles, and season storylines.
Billboard & Spotify Predictions 2026: Top Artist, #1 Song & Album
Live prediction markets for music charts and streaming records: who tops Spotify, who wins the Billboard year, first-week album numbers, and Spotify platform metrics, priced across Polymarket and Kalshi.
Economy & Finance.
6 markets
AI IPOs and Valuations: OpenAI, Anthropic, Model Race Odds
IPO announcement ladders, completion cutoffs, year-end valuation rungs, the best-model race, and the largest-company contract, priced live on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Gold, Oil & Silver: 2026 Year-End Price Predictions and Odds
The mid-year gold, oil, and silver contracts settled in June. What still trades: year-end gold touch and level ladders, the WTI maximum and minimum ladders, crude record-high contracts, and the cross-asset return races on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Bitcoin Price Prediction 2026: Odds & Forecasts
BTC price thresholds, altcoin returns, crypto regulation, and institutional stress contracts on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Climate & Weather.
5 markets2026 Heat & Temperature Predictions: Hottest Year Markets
Live market prices on 2026 heat and temperature records: the hottest year, daily city highs, heat domes, Arctic sea ice, and atmospheric CO2, set against NASA, NOAA, and NSIDC data.
Pandemic Odds 2026: Bird Flu, Measles, and Ebola Predictions
A large Ebola outbreak is a declared emergency that WHO says is not a pandemic. See how a pandemic actually gets declared, the record since 2000, and the live markets pricing bird flu, measles, and Ebola.
Earthquake & Volcano Predictions: Live Market Prices
Live market prices on earthquakes and volcanic eruptions, set against the science: worldwide magnitude 7.0+ counts, megaquake and regional risk, and VEI 4+ eruption markets.
